FanBoardHQ

Coastal Carolina

Coastal Carolina University · 2024 · Sun Belt

FanBoardHQ CFP
#96
Efficiency
-8.1
97th FBS
Record
6-7
Conf. record
3-5
Conf. finish
T-9th
of 14
Coastal Carolina Fanboard →

Coastal Carolina went 6-7 and was ranked 96th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 91st-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 100th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 56% of offensive plays with a 105th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 44% of plays with a 76th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-2
Q3
1-1
Q4
5-4

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 6.0 wins
Strength of Record
93rd
-5.0 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
110th
full season
110th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
92nd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.6 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ Jacksonville StateConference USA#69W 5527-7.6100%30.2Q3
2vs William & MaryCoastal AthleticW 4021+17.3100%1.8Q4
3@ TempleAmerican Athletic#123W 2820+8.7100%-5.8Q4
4vs VirginiaACC#76L 2443-3.70%-26.6Q4
6vs Old DominionSun Belt#91W 4537-3.9100%6.2Q4
7@ James MadisonSun Belt#54L 739-12.70%-27.8Q2
8vs LouisianaSun Belt#51L 2434-5.50%-14.8Q4
10@ TroySun Belt#113L 2438+0.40%-25.1Q4
11vs Appalachian StateSun Belt#97W 3824+6.3100%8.1Q4
12@ MarshallSun Belt#37L 1931-15.10%-5.6Q2
13vs Georgia SouthernSun Belt#62L 626-2.70%-24.4Q4
14@ Georgia StateSun Belt#120W 4827+1.7100%10.6Q4
Postseason
@ UTSAAmerican Athletic#81L 1544-6.00%-33.3Q3

13 played · 6-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Coastal Carolina, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-23.2+1.2+25.6302-6-276-28-15-258-6-2411Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 76th
SR 102ndYPP 53rdEPA 82nd
RushingEff 105th
SR 107thYPP 87thEPA 107th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 100th
SR 95thYPP 97thEPA 101st
Rush defenseEff 117th
SR 112thYPP 113thEPA 121st
Dropback rate 44%Tempo -4.0 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 84th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 42%1st · Defense allowed: 43%1st2nd · Offense: 40%2nd · Defense allowed: 42%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 40%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 48%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 86.0Q1 · Allowed: 61.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 72.0Q2 · Allowed: 140.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 92.0Q3 · Allowed: 68.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 82.0Q4 · Allowed: 122.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledCoastal CarolinaOffenseDefense
Coastal Carolina Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 91st
-3.4
Field position: +2.2Finishing drives: -5.7
Field position +2.2Finishing drives -5.7= -3.4
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 9th · Finishing 110th

Defensive EffRanked 100th
-4.8
Field position: -2.0Finishing drives: -2.8
Field position -2.0Finishing drives -2.8= -4.8
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 125th · Finishing 91st

2.09 points per drive on offense, 2.26 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 34.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(192)38% / 62%45%6.8
Q2(205)46% / 54%40%5.9
Q3(202)42% / 58%46%6.0
Q4(221)51% / 49%34%5.4
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(126)10.338%7.1
2nd(113)8.842%8.0
3rd(112)8.533%6.0
4th(14)8.729%7.7
All (365)38%7.1
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(236)9.844%5.4
2nd(156)7.738%5.3
3rd(53)5.258%4.3
4th(10)2.340%1.8
All (455)44%5.2

Coastal Carolina, all games.